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Article: <5htq04$mfi@dfw-ixnews3.ix.netcom.com>
From: saquo@ix.netcom.com(Nancy)
Subject: Re: Two TAILS Tell Two TALES - Hale-Bopp FRAUD
Date: 2 Apr 1997 14:20:52 GMT
In article <5h9p7o$b6f$3@mark.ucdavis.edu> Jedidiah Whitten writes:
> The orbit predictions haven't changed so much as a degree
> recently.
> ez049941@bullwinkle.ucdavis.edu (Jedidiah Whitten)
Then how did the orbit period get from 4,200 to 2,380 years? In 1995 Marsden announced that due to McNaught's 1993 image he could plot the orbit, and that even though he had to throw out 90% of the observations given to him to make it FIT, that he was asserting that the 1993 image was CORRECT. At that time he stated he had a large number of observations, well more than the 3 required to triangulate. One of two things happened. Either the recent orbit changes have NEGATED McNaught's 1993 image (something the Zetas said would occur in due time) or the recent observations are WRONG. Can't have it both ways!
It looked like a comet with an orbit period close to the 3,600 year Shar the ancient Summerians knew was the period for the 12th Planet. But now that they must match the nova pointed to in 1995 to this REAL comet, adjustments had to be made to tighten the eccentricity, especially as the REAL comet was increasingly becoming a known entity via the Hubble and NEAT programs. Thus we see the steady trend, even when it contradicts the other facts noted like a leap away from Jupiter to create a broader orbit. A discussion on how to calculate orbit period from the ephemerides came up just recently. Chris Marriott of SkyMap Software wrote that the formula used was
a = p/(1-e) Period = a^1.5
Below are the Orbital Elements I've collected, with eccentricity (e) and perihelion distance (q) noted.
1995 Nov IAU Minor Planet Circular 25,623
e=.9953 q=.9143 a.u.
1996 Feb 22 NASA Solution 22
e=.995028866 q=.914124471
1996 May 28 JPL Solution 32
e=.995038361 .000005177 Post Fit Std Dev q=0.914119479 .000009551
1996 Jun 27 JPL Solution: 35
e=.995072729 .000004475 Post Fit Std Dev. q=.914084667 .000007855
1997 Jan 12.0 NASA
e=.9950918 e=.9950959 q=.9141138 q=.9141015